China vs. Taiwan

[Schneemann]

In Taiwan scheint man, für den Fall einer westtaiwanesischen Invasionsabsicht, verstärkt auf Seedrohnen setzen zu wollen. Nach meinem Empfinden keine unbedingt schlechte Lösung, denn rein nach konservativen konventionellen Statistiken hat Taiwan keine sonderlich guten Chancen, eine Landung abzuwehren (das Pentagon hat dies auch vor einigen Monaten - zum Leidwesen Taipehs - in einer Studie mal verlauten lassen).

Taiwan’s New Naval Drones Could Strike Any Chinese Invasion [...]

Facing the threat of invasion, Taiwan is increasing the pace of its defensive build-up. One very visible aspect is the development of armed uncrewed surface drones (USVs). These are heavily influenced by the lessons of the Russo-Ukraine War in the Black Sea. Ukraine has achieved unprecedented success, denying the larger Russian fleet Sea Control in the Black Sea. Taiwan has clearly been taking notes.

Few individual weapons are war winning, and the threat from mainland China (PRC) is nuanced, but these could make a difference. They might disrupt and weaken an initial invasion wave, and impose a high cost on resupplying any beachhead. The now famous invasion barges, first reported by Naval News, would be high on the target list. And used creatively, they could shape PRC ship movements and expose them to other defences such as long range missiles. [...]

It is now almost 3 years since Ukraine’s USVs first burst onto the scene with a bold raid on Sevastopol. Taiwan showed the first hints of following Ukraine’s lead less than a year later when, in August 2023, the Sea Shark 400 surface drone was unveiled. [...] The vessel which closest matches the Ukrainian designs is the Kuaiqi. Developed from the ‘Black Tide’ demonstrator seen in the June event, it features a low profile hull. Two Cox diesel outboards provide the power giving a reported performance of 43 knots. It has been seen with Kymeta satellite communications and a range of weapons including an explosive ‘ram charge’ in the bow, a hangar for quadrotor drones, and six launch tubes for loitering munitions. The latter are likely the indigenous Jing Feng type, an analogue of the American Switchblade design. A more futuristic design is the Endeavour Manta. A trimaran with faceted stealthy fiber-reinforced plastic hull, it is 8.6 meters (28 feet) long and 3.7 meters (12 feet) across.

https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/202...-invasion/

Gleichwohl, nur mit Klonen von ukrainischen Drohnen dürfte die chinesische Dampfwalze nicht aufzuhalten sein, aber vielleicht kann man die Invasionsabsicht zumindest so lange ver- und hinauszögern, bis die USA eingreifen können...

Schneemann