04.09.2024, 17:14
Iranische Staatsmedien loben die clevere Strategie der Staatsführung, nicht unmittelbar militärisch auf die Ermordung von Haniyah in Teheran reagiert zu haben. 
Zitat:...https://en.irna.ir/news/85577779/Deadly-...telligence
Iran’s smart strategy in the intelligence war
Iran’s approach, and by extension that of other members of the Resistance Front in dealing with this situation, reflects a smart strategy, guided by the leadership's wisdom and the innovative actions of Iran’s armed forces, particularly the IRGC.
This strategy is based on the principles of psychological and intelligence warfare.
For instance, Brigadier General Ali-Mohammad Naeini, the new spokesperson for the IRGC, emphasized Iran’s serious intent to respond to the assassination of Martyr Ismail Haniyeh during a recent press conference that drew considerable international media attention.
He explicitly stated that the timing and location of this response depend on Iran's calculations.
These measured and intelligent remarks not only signal the start of a new phase of psychological and media operations by the IRGC, but also clearly demonstrate Iran’s strategy of challenging the opponent’s calculations and imposing psychological and intelligence pressure on the Israeli regime.
In reality, Iran, through the smart and calculated use of its media and intelligence capabilities, has managed to create a situation where Israel and its Western allies are forced to maintain a constant state of alert without being able to predict the quality, quantity, or even the likely timing of Iran’s response.
This strategy, based on the principles of cognitive warfare and disrupting the enemy’s decision-making system, is far more effective than a direct military attack.
In other words, Iran, by leveraging psychological and intelligence warfare, has not only put significant pressure on the Israeli regime but also severely disrupted Israel's security and intelligence calculations and forecasts.
International concerns and diplomatic reactions
Recent developments have also heightened international concerns about the potential for a widespread war in the region.
Diplomatic reactions from European countries and the United States indicate that they are well aware of the possible consequences of a military confrontation between Iran and Israel and the irreparable damages that Israel could face.
At the same time, diplomatic efforts to reduce tensions and prevent an imminent punitive response from Iran have clearly intensified.
The repeated requests from Tehran to exercise restraint and avoid escalating tensions reflect the deep concern of these countries about the potential for a major military crisis in the region.
The United States and its European allies are trying, through both overt and covert diplomacy, to prevent a regional conflict that could threaten their strategic interests in the Middle East.
In this context, diplomatic trips and behind-the-scenes negotiations to reduce tensions and either prevent or mitigate Iran's response have significantly increased.
However, according to Western sources, these efforts have yet to yield tangible results, and concerns about the scope and depth of a possible blow to Israel remain high.
Given all that has been discussed, it seems that Iran's response to the assassination of Haniyeh is not likely to take the form of a direct military strike but rather a hybrid warfare approach, maximizing the use of psychological and intelligence warfare. This carefully crafted response will have long-term strategic consequences that will spell a bleak future for the Israeli regime.
This approach, based on the principles of cognitive warfare and the exploitation of media and intelligence capacities, clearly demonstrates Iran's capabilities in crisis management and in imposing its preferred conditions on its enemies.
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