06.09.2020, 14:56
Eine recht interessante Einschätzung. Zwar zeigt sich hier einerseits Verständnis für den US-Schritt, den Vertrag vor dem Hintergrund der russischen (protenziellen) Mogeleien zu verlassen, andererseits wird aber auch Kritik geäußert, dass die USA bzgl. des Szenarios China - und China war nicht Teil des INF-Vertrages - nicht wirklich ein Konzept haben, wie in Fernost der Ausstieg in einen strategischen Vorteil umgemünzt werden könnte.
Schneemann.
Zitat:Can the INF treaty survive after U.S. withdrawal?https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2020/08/23/ca...ithdrawal/
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Force treaty (INF) treaty was signed between the United States and Union of Soviet Socialist Republics in 1987. Ronald Reagan and Michael Gaurbachev signed this treaty. Under this treaty, both states were bound to destroy their ballistic and cruise missiles with a range between 500 to 5500 KM. The United States initiated this treaty because, at that time, the Soviet Union had SS-20 missiles, and its waves were able to cover the whole of Europe, so the United States wanted to dismantle it. It was one of the most successful treaties of the Cold War era that has dismantled 2692 missiles of both states, i.e., the Soviet Union dismantled 1846 missiles, whereas America destroyed its 846 missiles.
INF treaty started getting weakened by the time when the United States started alleging Russia for violating the obligations of the treaty that Russia has tested missiles had with a range above 500 Km. Nevertheless, Russia denied this allegation and passed the statement that 9M729 missile consists of 480 Km range and does not exceed the treaty limitation. Then, in 2016 Donald Trump became the president of the United States. The suspension of the INF treaty in February 2019 and provided six months to Russia to comply with this treaty. Nevertheless, the US used Russian violation as a pretext and officially declared its withdrawal in August 2019. [...]
In the contemporary world, China is becoming one of the significant threats for US hegemony. In order to analyze the historical time, the United States has always used its power against those states who have threatened its positions. China is emerging in Asia due to which US hegemony is being threatened and want to contain China by making INF treaty Asia-Pacific centric. The step taken by the US has undermined the mutual trust of the states as well as affected the security of Europe due to which the US is facing criticism from other countries that it has increased the risk of military conflict. [...]
United States decided on withdrawal from the INF treaty very quickly due to a lack of proper planning or policies regarding containing China. First, no strategic planning was done with Asian allies, especially Japan and South Korea. Both states are bound to their administrations for deploying intermediate missiles in their territory. Public perceptions and opinions are also influencing their government policies.
Schneemann.