Russland vs. Ukraine

[Quintus Fabius]

Militaryland:

https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasio...3-summary/

https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasio...4-summary/

https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasio...5-summary/


Jomini:

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/1509000160239575043

Gesamtkarte:

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/15090...43/photo/1

1/ Ukrainian Theater of War, Day 34: Todays update briefly focuses on the Chernihiv & Sumy Oblasts. Ukrainian forces have made important gains in Sumy; however, Russia is preparing a long-term defense in the Chernihiv Oblast.

2/ Humanitarian Impact. Refugees in various European countries exceeds 5.2 million, with over 6.5 million IDPs throughout Ukraine. The successful liberation of many towns near Sumy will allow more civilians to be evacuated to safer regions.

3/ Weather assessment. For the Sumy area forecasted thunderstorms and wintery mix for 5 of the next 10 days will continue to adversely affect aerospace and ground operations, Russia will exploit this to reposition forces. Temperatures generally will remain between 16/-1 C.

Karte Sumy:

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/15090...89/photo/1

4/ Sumy Front. The inability of Russian forces to secure multiple lines of communication and a reliable base of operations has fractured operational momentum to the point that localized defense is all the Russian military is capable of sustaining on this front.

Karte Chernihiv:

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/15090...49/photo/1

5/ Chernihiv. Chernihiv remains under Ukrainian control. There are clear indications that Russian forces are establishing a new defensive line along the Snov River to the east/ NE of Chernihiv. It is not clear yet how Russian dispositions in east Kyiv have shifted.

Sumy:

https://twitter.com/JominiW/status/15090...44/photo/1

6/ Sumy. The siege of Sumy has generally been lifted as Ukrainian forces have been able to relieve the city and bisect Russian positions from Sumy to Okhtyrka because of the withdrawal of Russian forces to the Kharkiv-Donbas Strategic Front.

7/ Battle Damage Assessment. Successful Ukrainian ambushes, counterattacks, and supply route raiding have left Russian forces in the Sumy Oblast demoralized & running low on basic soldier & equipment maintenance needs. Equip is routinely abandoned.

8/ It is doubtful Russia will truly “drastically” scale-back operations in Kyiv or Chernihiv. Though efforts will shift to the east, Russia will maintain pressure here as negotiations continue by holding occupied territory and executing limited offensives as opportunity arise.

RUSI:

https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/d...h%2030.pdf


Task and Purpose:

Is the Ukraine War in a Stalemate or Checkmate?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REBRCVqnbiA


Karten:

https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status...85/photo/1

https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status...85/photo/2

https://twitter.com/War_Mapper/status/15...84/photo/1

https://mobile.twitter.com/HN_Schlottman...72/photo/1

https://mobile.twitter.com/HN_Schlottman...72/photo/2

https://mobile.twitter.com/HN_Schlottman...72/photo/3