Golfstaaten vrs. Iran
#1
Inzwischen gibt es ja eine ganze Reihe von Szenarien, wer alles wie gegen den Iran vorgeht - von Russland über die NATO bis zu einzelen nahöstlichen Staaten wie Irak, Israel und der Türkei reichen die verschiedenen Überlegungen.

Was aber am Naheliegendsten ist - aufgrund der Dauerrivalitäten zwischen den Golfstaaten und dem Iran am persisch-arabischen Golf und der territorialen Differenzen - die Auseinandersetzung der arabischen Golfstaaten mit dem Iran, das haben wir hier noch nicht erörtert (jedenfalls hab ich das nicht gefunden), deshalb ein kleines Entree:
http://www.ftd.de/politik/international ... 80289.html
Zitat:10.10.2010, 10:00
Naher Osten
Golfstaaten überholen Armee des Iran
"Man geht davon aus, dass die Kampfjets der Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate (VAE) die iranische Luftwaffe innerhalb von sechs Stunden ausschalten könnten", sagt Theodore Karasik vom Institute for Near East & Gulf Military Analysis in Dubai.


Der Sicherheitsexperte hält das Militär der VAE mit seinen 184 Kampfjets und 471 Panzern für das stärkste und fähigste am Golf. "Bei den Iranern geht alles immer nur um die Mannstärke."
Dennoch haben die Golfstaaten soeben aus Angst vor dem Iran noch einmal kräftig aufgerüstet:
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"Saudi-Arabien kauft aber nicht allein aus sicherheitspolitischen Erwägungen Waffen, sondern auch aus Prestigegründen", sagt Iris Wurm vom Hessischen Institut für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung. "Waffen zu besitzen ist wichtig für das Herrscherhaus." Es bräuchte dazu keine neue Bedrohungslage. "Aus ihrer Sicht darf nicht der Eindruck entstehen, dass der Iran Saudi-Arabien überlegen wäre."
Angesichts des Arsenals an modernsten Waffen und Kampffliegern besteht kein Zweifel, dass die Golfstaaten besser aufgestellt sind.

Die Frage ist jedoch, ob sie in der Lage sind, die teuren Anschaffungen auch einzusetzen.
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Wie auch die VAE, Katar, Bahrain und Kuwait haben sie eine Vielzahl von ausländischen Beratern, Technikern und Piloten engagiert, auf die sich das Militär stützt. Teheran hat oft genug klargemacht, dass es in den Golfstaaten den verlängerten Arm des Westens sieht. Von Riad bis Dubai fürchtet man, dafür bestraft zu werden.
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Die Ausrüstung der iranischen Armee sei allen Militärparaden und neu entwickelten Raketen zum Trotz im Vergleich mit den Golfstaaten jedoch relativ bescheiden.

Auch Pieter Wezeman, Rüstungsexperte des Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, hält die iranische Armee für deutlich unterlegen. "Der Iran ist, was konventionelle Waffen angeht, keine Bedrohung. Sie bewegen sich waffentechnisch nicht auf demselben Niveau wie die Nachbarn." Ihre Stärke sei schlicht ihre Größe.
Gefährlich sei außerdem ihr Einfluss auf schiitische Gruppen in der Region, darunter die Houthi. Der Iran könnte auch die Meerenge von Hormus und damit den Seeweg der Öltanker blockieren. "Und schließlich noch die nukleare Option", so Wezeman.
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da lassen sich doch trefflich diverse Szenarien entwickeln, die im Falle einer direkten Auseinandersetzung entstehen könnten ....
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#2
Zitat:'Arabs asked for Iran strike'

Documents released after much hype say Mossad chief wanted to enlist Iranian opposition groups to revolt against government, while Arab leaders, including Mubarak, asked US to stop nuclear program with military strike
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340 ... 99,00.html
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#3
Der neokonservative Propagandasturm im Wasserglas ist verzogen. Das schafft Raum für die weniger reisserischen Interpretationen der von Wikileaks veröffentlichten Dokumente:

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/LL10Ak01.html
Zitat:Neo-con narrative sidelines Palestinians
By Eli Clifton and Jim Lobe

WASHINGTON - Gleeful Israeli leaders and their neo-conservative supporters here have spent much of the past week insisting that the United States State Department cables published by WikiLeaks prove that Sunni Arab leaders in the Middle East are far more preoccupied with the threat posed by an ascendant and possibly nuclear Iran than with a resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

But a closer look at the relevant cables shows a far more consistent message to Washington coming from its Arab allies: that curbing Iran and resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict are inextricably linked and that the most effective way of achieving the former is make tangible progress on the latter.
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http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/LL08Ak01.html
Zitat:
Gulf war cries over Iran exaggerated

By Gareth Porter and Jim Lobe
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The notion that these leaders, like Israel, favor a military solution to Iran's nuclear program has become widely accepted by the news media in the past week. In a curtain-raiser to this week's talks in Geneva between Iran and the world's most powerful nations, for example, the Washington Post on Monday asserted that the WikiLeaks disclosure "show[ed] that Persian Gulf leaders have pressed for a military attack on Iran's nuclear facilities."

But a careful reading of all the diplomatic cables reporting the views of Saudi and other Gulf Arab regimes on Iran shows that the Times' account seriously distorted the content - and in the case of the Saudis, ignored the context - of the cables released by WikiLeaks.
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While confirming growing Arab fears about Iran's regional clout and nuclear ambitions, the cables suggest that other Gulf Arab leaders - with the possible exception of Bahrain's King Hamad bin Issa al-Khalifa, the only regional leader with a majority Shi'ite population - have little or no appetite for military action against Iran.
...
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#4
Öhm nö. Es zeigt eher das die propagierte Verbindung zwischen dem Paliproblem und dem Atomkonflikt defakto nicht existiert.
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#5
http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8909281036
Zitat:Parliament Approves Iran-Oman Security Pact

TEHRAN (FNA)- The Iranian parliament on Sunday approved a bill that allows Tehran to implement an agreement on security cooperation and coordination with Oman.

The bill was approved with 136 votes in favor, 4 against and 6 abstentions.
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Earlier in August 2009, the Islamic Republic of Iran and Oman signed a security agreement. The agreement was inked by former Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki and his Omani counterpart Yusuf Ben Alawi here in Tehran and during a visit to Iran by Omani King Qaboos bin Said al-Said.

Later in August 2010, Iran and Oman signed an agreement to further boost mutual cooperation in the field of defense.
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They also agreed to pave the ground for holding joint military wargames.
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#6
http://www.tehrantimes.com/Index_view.asp?code=233021
Zitat:Tehran ready to share nuclear expertise with UAE: ambassador
Tehran Times Political Desk

TEHRAN – Tehran’s ambassador to the United Arab Emirates, Mohammad Reza Fayyaz, has said Iran is ready to share its expertise with the UAE in all areas, including in the field of nuclear energy.
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He also said the two countries should make efforts to expand their historic relationship.
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“The commonalities among Iran, the United Arab Emirates and other regional countries are plentiful, but some want to create rift among the (Muslim) brothers out of jealousy,” the ambassador stated.
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#7
Neue Regierung in Bagdad. Umfassender Staatsbesuch aus Teheran:

Zitat:Larijani Meets Iraq's Jaafari

TEHRAN (FNA)- Iran's Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani met with the visiting head of the Iraqi National Alliance, Ibrahim al-Jaafari, here in Tehran on Wednesday.
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8910151493

Zitat:Iranian FM Caretaker Meets Ammar Al-Hakim in Iraq

TEHRAN (FNA)- Caretaker of the Iranian Foreign Ministry Ali Akbar Salehi held a meeting with Head of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq Ammar al-Hakim to discuss ways for the further development of close ties between the two countries.

Salehi in his Wednesday evening meeting with the Supreme Islamic Council of Iraq Speaker Ammar al-Hakim reiterating the two countries' shared tribal, religious and historic interests, said, 'Keeping in mind that both nations are highly enthusiastic to visit the other country, lifting the visa requirement is an urgent need today.'
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8910160351

Zitat:Iranian FM Caretaker Meets Ayatollah Sistani in Najaf

TEHRAN (FNA)- Caretaker of the Iranian Foreign Ministry Ali Akbar Salehi in a meeting with senior Shiite cleric Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani in the holy city of Najaf, Southern Iraq, conveyed the warmest regards of Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei to Ayatollah Sistani.
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8910160569

Zitat:Iran Calls for Immediate Pullout of Foreign Troops from Iraq

TEHRAN (FNA)- Iranian Foreign Ministry Caretaker Ali Akbar Salehi in a meeting with Iraqi Parliament Speaker Osama al-Nujaifi renewed Tehran's call for an immediate withdrawal of foreign forces from Iraq.
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8910160500

Der Dritte große irak. Schiitenführer im Bunde, Sadr, ist außerdem vor ein paar Tagen aus dem iranischen Exil in den Irak zurückgekehrt.
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#8
Zwei bemerkenswerte Entwicklungen im Verhältnis des Iran mit seinen arabischen Nachbarländern:

http://presstv.com/detail/159286.html
Zitat:Iran's interior minister arrives in Oman

Iranian Interior Minister Mostafa Mohammad-Najjar has arrived in Muscat on a two-day visit to hold talks with senior Omani officials on ways to tighten security and improve bilateral cooperation.

Mohammad-Najjar, who is heading a delegation, was welcomed by Omani Interior Minister Saud bin Ibrahim al-Busaidi upon his arrival on Sunday, IRNA reported.
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Speaking to reporters ahead of his departure to Muscat, Mohammad-Najjar said, “The visit is aimed at following up security agreements (already signed between the two countries) and activating security committees.”
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http://presstv.com/detail/159307.html
Zitat:Iran, Iraq reach deal on joint oilfields
Sun Jan 9, 2011 9:40AM
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"The two neighboring states have signed an agreement for the development of joint oilfields," Mehr news agency reported on Sunday.
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Based on the new deal, Iran and Iraq will set up joint expert committees to finalize technical and financial details of the agreement to develop the joint oilfields.
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#9
Zitat:Qatar/Islam: Qatari Minister Urges Closer Cultural Ties among Muslim States
24 January 2011 08:25 pm

TEHRAN ,Safar 19/Jan 24 (IINA)-Qatar's Minister of Culture and Heritage Hamad bin Abd al-Aziz al-Kawari, who is visiting Iran's holy city of Qom, called for closer cultural ties among Islamic countries, Iran and Qatar in particular.
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"Consolidation of cultural relations among the Islamic states, particularly Iran and Qatar, can further strengthen this element (unity)," al-Kuwari noted. He stressed his country's support for stronger unity among Muslims, and called on all Muslim states to identify and boost their points of commonality.

Iran and Qatar have recently augmented efforts to further expand ties and cooperation in all the different political, economic, defense and security fields. The two Persian Gulf littoral states recently signed several protocols to increase mutual cooperation, specially in different areas of security.
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http://www.iina.me/english/news.php?go= ... ewsid=1313
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#10
Zitat:Iran Keen to Expand All-Out Ties with Kuwait
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Mir-Tajjeddini [Iranian Vice-President for Parliamentary Affairs Hojjatoleslam Seyed Mohammad Reza Mir-Tajjeddini], who is Kuwait to attend ceremonies marking the 50th anniversary of Kuwait independence and the 20th anniversary of Kuwait liberation from Iraqi Ba'athist regime's occupation, made the remark in a meeting with Kuwaiti Emir Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Jabir al-Sabah.
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Earlier in February, Iran and Kuwait inked an agreement to consolidate the industrial and customs relations between the two neighboring countries.
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8912060747
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#11
Zitat:Iran sets deadline for Oman over Hormoz petchem unit

TEHRAN, Feb. 28 (MNA) -- Iran set a two-month deadline for Oman Oil Company (OOC) to fulfill its obligations over the construction of Hormoz urea and ammoniac production unit in Assalouyeh, southern Iran, the National Petrochemical Company’s project manager said here on Monday.

Ahmad Heidarnia said that, “in case of the Omani side’s withdrawal, Iran is ready to replace OOC with another domestic or foreign company.”

Iran and Oman signed a memorandum of understanding in august, 2009 to jointly construct Hormoz urea and ammoniac production unit in Assalouyeh.
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http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1263876
Zitat:Man-made islands in Persian Gulf could create tension: Iran

TEHRAN, Feb. 28 (MNA) – Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi has said that the construction of artificial islands off the south coasts of the Persian Gulf by the United Arab Emirates could create political tension in the region.
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He went on to say that the legal regime of the seabed in the Persian Gulf is not completely established yet and the boundaries between Iran and the United Arab Emirates’ waters near the three Iranian Islands of Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa are not clearly delineated.

Safavi, who is also a senior military advisor to the Supreme Leader, said construction of artificial islands in the Persian Gulf will prolong the process of establishing the legal regime of the Persian Gulf and a precise delineation of boundaries.

The man-made islands will also make the current disputes between Iran and the UAE more complicated and can lead to the deterioration of relationships between the regional states, he stated.
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Ganz konkret befürchtet der Sicherheitsberater von Ayathollah Khamenei:
Zitat:“The Emiratis have effectively violated the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea by taking willful actions in construction of artificial islands and it seems that they are seeking to make unfounded claims about the sovereignty over some islands in the Persian Gulf after the expansion of their territorial waters,” he noted.
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http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1263907
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#12
Iran erklärt VAE offiziell zum Störfaktor. Die Beziehungen sollen stark reduziert werden:

Zitat:Iranian Parliament to Review Bill on Lowering Ties with UAE

TEHRAN (FNA)- Members of the Iranian parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission are due to discuss a bill on downgrading ties with the United Arab Emirates after the Persian Gulf Arab state consistently showed a negative approach towards Tehran in political issues.

"The bill has been submitted to the presiding board of the parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission to be studied more precisely and in a more specialized manner," senior member of the Commission Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh told FNA on Saturday.
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http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8912140559
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#13
Mach dir mal keine Hoffnungen, die Saudis werden einen schiitischen Coup notfalls zusammenschießen.
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#14
Hä? Von welchem Land sprichst Du genau?
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#15
Der Empfang der Arabisch sprachigen iranischen Sender Al-Alam (News) und iFilm (Unterhaltung) wird seit ein paar Tagen durch Störsignale behindert.
http://presstv.com/detail/170812.html

Außerdem:

Zitat:Iran recalls ambassador from Manama

TEHRAN, March 16 (MNA) -- The Iranian Foreign Ministry has recalled its ambassador from Bahrain to protest the recent massacre of Bahrainis.
...
http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1275910

Zitat:Iran discusses situation in Bahrain with Oman

TEHRAN, March 17 (MNA) – Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi has telephoned his Omani counterpart to express Tehran’s displeasure over unjustified violence against pro-democracy protestors in Bahrain as well as military intervention in the country by some neighboring countries.
...
http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1276184

Zitat:Iranian FM holds talks with UN chief on Bahrain

TEHRAN, March 16 (MNA) – Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi, during a telephone conversation late on Tuesday, held talks with United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon about the critical political situation facing Bahrain.
...
http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1275582

Der saudische Botschafter und der schweizer Botschafter (vertritt Interessen der USA) wurden ebenfalls einbestellt: http://www.mehrnews.com/en/newsdetail.a ... ID=1275166
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