Äthiopien

[Schneemann]

Ein interessanter Artikel von AllAfrica zu den internen Verwicklungen und Machtkämpfen sowie zu den Einmischungen von außerhalb. Einerseits scheint Abiy, der aktuell auf der Siegerstraße sich befindet, intern an Einfluss zu verlieren, andererseits mischen sich auch ausländische Mächte in den Konflikt ein, dass z. B. die VAE mit involviert sind, war mir so nicht bekannt...

Ethiopia

The Looming Long Civil War That Could Break Ethiopia

Violent conflict in Ethiopia has brought to light underlying issues that had been festering for years. But how did it get here and what does the future of the country and its neighbours look like?

The civil war in Ethiopia that broke out on 4 November when Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed launched an attack on Tigray, the state administered by the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), caught the world unaware. The transition of power in the ruling Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) after the death of Meles Zenawi in 2012 to Hailemariam Desalegn, and then to Ahmed in 2018, seemingly went smoothly. [...]

At the top of that list is Eritrea, which is supported by Ahmed's forces. Drones from the United Arab Emirates base in the Eritrean port city of Assab have attacked the TPLF. Meanwhile, neighbouring Sudan has received 45 000 mostly Tigrayan refugees, with the United Nations (UN) anticipating 200 000. The British Broadcasting Corporation and other media, however, reported that the Ethiopian army is stopping fleeing Tigrayans, presumably to prevent them from telling stories of widespread atrocities committed by soldiers. The army took control of Tigray's capital of Mekelle on 28 November, and although Ahmed was quick to claim victory, almost all of the TPLF leadership escaped capture. [...]

The immediate stimulus for the present war was a conflict that broke out in the northern command of the national army just outside Mekelle. But the main differences between the TPLF and Ahmed were over the fate of the EPRDF's system of national federation, which had its origins in the TPLF's demand for national self-determination during the anti-Derg war and became the cement that bound the various national-based movements that formed the EPRDF. [...]

He has shown little concern for the 1.8 million internally displaced people in the country, the largest such group in the world, and instead has concentrated on filling most state governments with his allies. He eliminated virtually all Tigrayans from the government, security services and state-owned corporations. He charged them with corruption but none has been convicted. [...]

Meanwhile, Ahmed has almost completely lost the support of the Oromos, who for generations have opposed the kind of centrist government he espouses. Instead, Ahmed's followers are now largely Amharas, whose elites favour the centralised administration practised by the Haile Selassie feudal regime and the Derg, in which they assumed the leading role.

https://allafrica.com/stories/202012100561.html

Schneemann.