13.03.2008, 08:57
Zitat:Fifty-four percent of the CFOs said the United States is in recession, and another 24 percent said there is a high likelihood of one starting later this year, according to a Duke University/CFO Magazine survey completed on March 7.
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Zitat:The US economy is in a prolonged contraction that will not dissipate until next year, according to a survey of chief financial officers.
More than half of the executives surveyed said the world’s biggest economy is already in a recession and eight out of 10 said one is likely by the end of this year, according to the first-quarter Duke University/CFO Magazine Business Outlook index.
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Zitat:And a Few Winners:
The United States: Ironically, some parts of the U.S. economy will be the biggest winner. For example, a weaker dollar means that the export competitiveness of American trade partners will be reduced while U.S. competitiveness will receive a boost. American firms will benefit from more exports to the rest of the world. Sharply lower home prices are bad news for current home owners but good news to those renters who will now find buying a house more affordable.
Importers in Europe, Japan, and China: A U.S. recession and global economic slowdown will eventually lead to a sharp fall in the price of oil, energy, and other commodities. So expect the heavy importers in these areas—particularly Europe, Japan, and China—to find a silver lining amidst the storm.
European Shoppers: American goods may have never been so cheap for people with euros in their pockets. If you have visited New York City recently, you may have noticed the swarm of European tourists hunting for bargains from a weak dollar. Expect these European crowds to grow even larger as the savings on luxury goods, clothes, and shoes climbs higher and higher. It may also put a smile on the face of a few American retailers, too.
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