Israel

[KheibarShekan]

Als mögliche Folge der politischen Spaltungen innerhalb der politischen und militärischen Führung sowie innerhalb der Gesellschaft spekuliert Middle East Monitor über die Möglichkeiten des Ausbruchs eines Bürgerkriegs und oder eines Regimechange durch die IDF selbst. MeMo ist eine Pro-Palästinensische Quelle und daher ist insofern wohl der Wunsch zu einer solchen Entwicklung herauszulesen. Gleichzeitig ist die Möglichkeit eines solchen Ereignisses nicht ganz von der Hand zu weisen, welches in jedem Fall mit Zunahme der Konfliktdauer und der Notstandssituation wahrscheinlicher wird.

The Altalena Affair: Is Israel heading towards a civil war?
June 25, 2024 at 8:52 am

Although Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on 18 June, “There will be no civil war [in Israel],” he might be wrong. Netanyahu’s statement was made in the context of the growing popular protests in Israel, especially following the long-anticipated resignations of several War Cabinet Ministers, including Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot, both of whom are former chiefs of staff in the Israeli army.

These resignations did not necessarily isolate Netanyahu, as the man’s popularity rests almost entirely on the support of the right and the far right. However, the move further illustrated deep and growing rifts in Israeli society, which could ultimately take the country from political upheaval to an actual civil war.

Divisions in Israel cannot be viewed in the same way as other political polarisations currently rife within Western democracies.

This assertion is not necessarily linked to the legitimate view that, at its core, Israel is not an actual democracy but, rather, due to the fact that Israel’s political formation is unique.
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The story began long before the current Gaza war. In February 2019, the leaders of three Israeli parties formed a coalition, Kahol Lavan, or “Blue and White”. Two of the coalition’s founders, Gantz and Moshe Ya’alon, were also military men, respected widely among the country’s powerful military establishment, and thus society at large. Despite their relative electoral successes, though, they still failed to dislodge Netanyahu from office. So, they took to the streets.

Taking the conflict to the streets of Tel Aviv and other Israeli cities was a decision not taken lightly. It followed the collapse of a strange government coalition, cobbled up by all of Netanyahu’s enemies, unified around the single objective of ending the right and far-right rule over the country. Naftali Bennet’s failure in this was simply the last straw.
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The internal Israeli conflict over Gaza is, indeed, not just about Gaza, Hamas or Hezbollah, but the future of Israel itself. If the Israeli army finds itself scapegoated for 7 October and the assured failed military campaigns that followed, it will have to decide between accepting its indefinite marginalisation or clashing with the political institution. If the latter is the option chosen, a civil war might be a real possibility.

https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/202406...civil-war/