United States of America

[Quintus Fabius]

Mal was anderes:

Artikel über einen möglichen Bürgerkieg in den USA in naher Zukunft:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/01/04/ame...6-capitol/

Dahingehend interessant weil er die Frage der US Streitkräfte mit diskutiert.

The sheer scale of the United States in terms of geography and population would present a massive military problem. “You need a troop ratio where you have a lot of security forces to clamp down on violence. The United States is a very large continent with a large population. I’m not sure we could ever have that many people in uniform to make it happen. What you would see is the rise of militias on both sides.” The military’s role would be to suppress violence. The only way to suppress violence would be to put the country on lockdown.

Noch mal abgesehen davon, dass die Amerikaner ca 400 Millionen Feuerwaffen in Privatbesitz haben, es dort also mehr Feuerwaffen als Einwohner gibt, der Gros davon sogar unregistriert und dazu Gebirge an Munition. Es ist völlig illusorisch zu glauben, die US Armee könnte damit fertig werden, nochmal abgesehen davon, dass die US Soldaten ja auch noch alle Verwandte und persönliche Beziehungen in die Bevölkerung haben.

How long could such repression last? “We’re talking about a future civil war in the United States, so the effort would extend indefinitely because of the passions that would invoke,” Mansoor said. For Bolger, as a historian as well as a retired officer, what is extraordinary is how little the United States has learned from even the insurgencies on its own soil. The British Army won nearly every pitched battle in the Revolutionary War. Yet the British could not hold the country against the will of its inhabitants. The failure of Reconstruction after the Civil War reveals the near impossibility of holding Americans under a political regime they won’t tolerate.

Und noch ein meiner Meinung nach lesenswerter Artikel der FT zum gleichen Thema:

https://www.ft.com/content/9c237473-603d...135c900612

America is even more bitterly separated into imagined rival nations that it was under Trump. .......Democrats thus retreated into their by-now routine ethnic division of spoils. Biden treated his cabinet selection as an “identity politics Rubik’s Cube”, write Burns and Martin. Far from dangling the hope of a new generation, his vice-president, Kamala Harris, has been “fixated on real and perceived snubs in ways the West Wing found tedious,” they write. Their party faces likely decimation in this year’s midterm elections in November, which will set up a crushingly depressing 2024 rematch between Biden and Trump. A popular Trumpian T-shirt says: “I’d rather be a Russian than a Democrat”.

More seriously, the number of rightwing militias in the US has exploded in recent years. White supremacist sentiment has also penetrated US law enforcement agencies, says Walter. The numbers of armed potential insurgents is a multiple of the left insurgent groups, such as the Black Panthers, and Symbionese Liberation Army, that caused such panic in the early 1970s.

To put the matter as simply as possible, the country possesses no effective way for processing or mollifying or even slowing political violence. While there is still some room to negotiate, policymakers should at the very least clarify, or modestly untangle, the bureaucratic quagmire that inevitably faces any future use of military force on U.S. soil. Currently, any attempt by the military to do so would only exacerbate underlying tensions. The systems for dealing with breakdowns in the system are themselves broken. The question now is how long and how far the fall will be.