Guinea

[Quintus Fabius]

https://mwi.usma.edu/jihadism-is-spreadi...is-needed/

Jihadism is Spreading to the Gulf of Guinea Littoral States, and a New Approach to Countering It is Needed

The jihadist insurgency in the Sahel, despite years of Western-backed efforts to counter it, is nonetheless expanding. Threats that were primarily concentrated in states such as Mali are now strategically expanding south into the littoral states on the Gulf of Guinea: Benin, Togo, Ghana, and Côte d’Ivoire. Understanding why efforts to stymie jihadist insurgent groups, to include affiliates of al-Qaeda and the Islamic State, have failed over recent years is essential to ensuring the expanding threat can be slowed down and reversed.

The southward expansion of jihadist insurgency into the littorals is facilitated by two structural drivers. First are the socioeconomic vulnerabilities present in peripheral communities that draw in illicit actors to include jihadists. These vulnerabilities stem from the failure of governments to manage—or in some cases even recognize the absence of—development, education, and access to resources. Second, porous borders and untenable levels of low-grade criminality, coupled with predatory responses by ill-equipped and poorly trained government forces, facilitate insecurity and propel individuals and communities toward jihadists.

Weil wir die Lage in der Sahel-Zone nicht in den Griff kriegen, breitet sich die Sache wie ein Krebsgeschwür überall in der Region aus. In Guinea sind 85% Muslime, und ich sage hier mal voraus dass wir es in ein paar Jahren dort mit einem IS Guinea Problem zu tun haben werden.