USA, Japan, Taiwan und Korea vs. China

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https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3988080

Former top US officials say China could take Taiwan in 3 days in early 2021

They claim Xi Jinping will attempt invasion 'to distract population from its mounting anger and anxiety'

In an essay published by the U.S. Naval Institute, former Deputy Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Michael Morell and former Admiral James Winnefeld warn that Chinese leader Xi Jinping (習近平) will "bring Taiwan back into China" in mid-January 2021.

With the West distracted by the U.S. election and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, the authors believe the "operation" will be completed in just three days.

Morell and Winnefeld paint a worst-case scenario in the article, published by the private, non-profit U.S. Naval Institute. They predict the operation will unfold quickly, "beginning on the evening of 18 January," prior to the U.S. presidential inauguration.

Meiner Ansicht nach gar nicht unrealistisch. Die aktuelle Pandemie wird in China als große Chance gesehen schneller mit den eigenen imperialistischen Plänen voran zu kommen.

https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedin...-never-was

The beginning of major state-on-state conflict is almost always a surprise . . . at least to one of the two sides.

Ich halte dieses Szenario für völlig unrealistisch. Erstens passt es überhaupt nicht zur Strategie der Chinesen und Zweitens dürfte so eine Operation nicht nach drei Tagen siegreich beendet sein, wenn man davon ausgeht dass Taiwan Widerstand leistet.