18.10.2020, 18:07
Der Kostenvoranschlag für die ersten zehn FFG(X) wird kritisiert - so soll der Navy-Vorschlag um rund 40% zu niedrig angesetzt gewesen sein. Nun denn, wenn man sich die teils erheblichen nachträglichen Kostenexplosionen von größeren Projekten in den letzten Jahren angeschaut hat, vor allem bei gewissen Nach- und Verbesserungen, so dürfte das wohl auch stimmen...
Schneemann.
Zitat:CBO Report on Cost of the Navy’s FFG(X) Programhttps://news.usni.org/2020/10/14/cbo-rep...gx-program
On April 30, 2020, the Navy awarded Fincantieri Marinette Marine a contract to build the Navy’s new surface combatant, a guided-missile frigate long designated as FFG(X).1 The contract guarantees that Fincantieri will build the lead ship (the first ship designed for a class) and gives the Navy options to build as many as nine additional ships. In this report, the Congressional Budget Office examines the potential costs if the Navy exercises all of those options.
CBO estimates the cost of the 10 FFG(X) ships would be $12.3 billion in 2020 (inflation-adjusted) dollars, about $1.2 billion per ship, on the basis of its own weight-based cost model. That amount is 40 percent more than the Navy’s estimate. [...]
Other factors suggest the Navy’s estimate is too low: The costs of all surface combatants since 1970, as measured per thousand tons, were higher. Historically the Navy has almost always underestimated the cost of the lead ship, and a more expensive lead ship generally results in higher costs for the follow-on ships. Even when major parts of the ship’s estimated cost are known, as they were for the Arleigh Burke destroyer, costs have turned out to be higher than initially estimated. Compared with the design on which it is based, the FFG(X) will be more densely built and will have somewhat more complex weapon systems.
Schneemann.