Iranisches Atomprogramm

[Shahab3]

Der Iran hat ein Interesse daran, seine theoretische Atombombenkapazität glaubhaft zu vermitteln ohne die Bombe selbst zu besitzen. Die USraelischen Falken wissen das und das sorgt ganz offensichtlich für Frustration und der Neigung, falsche Fährten zu legen, was Kommentatoren an die Hinweise zu irakischen Chemiewaffen erinnert.

Aber so sehr man auch versuchen wird, dem Iran eine "Smoking Gun" unter zu jubeln, eine echte wird er nicht liefern. Das liegt in der Natur der Sache, da der Iran offensichtlich den atomaren Status von Deutschland oder Japan anstrebt, also die Fähigkeit innerhalb von wenigen Tagen eine Bombe herstellen können, sofern dies erforderlich ist. Das sollte auch vollkommen reichen um das Regime in Israel vom Einsatz ihrer WMD abzuschrecken denke ich, bei gleichzeitiger ethischer Überlegenheit.

Rosenberg, ehemaliger Clinton Berater und Autor des AIPAC Schmierblattes "Near East Report" kommentiert im arabischen Sprachrohr Aljazeera:

The Iraq liars target Iran

The same people who lied about Iraq having weapons of mass destruction to start a war are pushing for war on Iran.
MJ Rosenberg Last Modified: 12 Nov 2011 14:08

Over the past several weeks, neoconservative hawks were gleefully predicting that the International Atomic Energy Agency's new report on Iran's nuclear program would provide the spark needed to ignite and justify a US or Israeli attack.

Sadly for them, the report did no such thing and the issue has been overshadowed by other stories.
...
This does not mean that the Iran nuclear threat has passed, only that the IAEA did not demonstrate that it has intensified. Yes, Iran is taking steps that indicate clear interest in developing nuclear weapons. But neither the IAEA nor anyone else knows if the Iranian regime intends to develop weapons, how long it will take to develop them or what its nuclear posture would be if it had the bomb. For 30 years, various experts have predicted that Iran would have nuclear weapons in a year, five years, or whenever - with the date always receding into the horizon.

The IAEA report doesn't offer much clarification. As a senior US government official said, in a conference call with reporters: "The IAEA does not assert that Iran has resumed a full scale nuclear weapons program nor does it have a program about how advanced the programs really are."
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In das selbe Horn ruft die Jerusalem Post:

Here we go again?
By GWYNNE DYER
11/12/2011 23:45

The same intelligence agencies are producing the same sort of reports about Iran that we heard eight years ago about Iraq.
...
Fool me once, shame on you.

Fool me twice, shame on me.
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The same intelligence agencies are producing the same sort of reports about Iran that we heard eight years ago about Iraq’s nuclear ambitions, and interpreting the information in the same highly prejudiced way.
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THE INTERESTING exception to all this is Israel, where people do know those things, and where there is a vigorous debate about whether attacking Iran is a good idea. Many think it is not, and that also goes for both of Israel’s intelligence agencies, the Mossad and Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency). Meir Dagan, the recently retired head of the Mossad, said last January that an attack on Iran was “the stupidest idea” he had ever heard.
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Abseits der amerikanischen und israelischen Falken gibt es also tatsächlich noch solche mit ein wenig Verstand.