Zitat: Israeli message to US:
Any direct attack from Iran will trigger an Israeli response in Iranian territory. Israel now threatens to strike back in Iran in any case, even if the initial Iranian attack causes no casualties

Zitat:Iranian prep to launch attack on Israel almost completed, @BarakRavid reports; Hezbollah prep completed days ago; Iran’s supreme leader has not yet given the order to strike.

Zitat:1. Israeli leaders approve IDF strike plans in response to expected Iranian assault; army still not detecting indications of imminent Iran axis attack.
2. IDF on standby for military action in Lebanon & Iran; Israeli retaliation may be similar to airstrikes on Hudaydah Port in Yemen, report says.

(13.08.2024, 23:45)Quintus Fabius schrieb: ....

Allgemein:

Das ganze Thema ist natürlich extrem heikel und schwierig, wie es jedem von euch natürlich klar ist. Trotzdem - gerade deswegen - sollten wir allesamt hier eben nicht emotional diskutieren. Auch wenn es noch so schwer ist.
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Zitat: der eher gemäßigte Verhandlungsführer der Hamas in Sachen Geiselbefreiung

Zitat:Plant Iran Tötung israelischer Minister?
Medienbericht: Ein solcher Versuch könnte als Alternative zu einem militärischen Angriff erfolgen
16.08.2024 13:23 Uhr

Die Mitglieder des israelischen Sicherheitskabinetts haben von ihren Beamten alarmierende Informationen erhalten: Demnach könnten der Iran und die von ihm finanzierte Terrororganisation Hisbollah versuchen, hochrangige Regierungsmitglieder zu ermorden. Dies geht aus einem Bericht von Ynet hervor.

Dies bedeutet: Anstelle des seit zwei Wochen erwarteten militärischen Angriffs des Iran auf Israel könnte Teheran planen, sich mit gezielten Attentaten für die Tötung des Hisbollah-Kommandeurs Fuad Shukr in Beirut und des Hamas-Chefs Ismail Haniyeh am 31. Juli in Teheran zu rächen.
...
https://www.juedische-allgemeine.de/israel/plant-iran-toetung-israelischer-minister/

Zitat:Man könnte auch diplomatisches Personal der Israelis in anderen Ländern töten, beispielsweise einen oder mehrere Botschafter, was noch wesentlich leichter zu bewerkstelligen wäre. Allgemein wäre meiner Meinung nach ein Angriff auf israelische Einrichtungen in anderen Ländern eine vergleichsweise intelligente Reaktion und sehr viel bessser als ein konventioneller militärischer Angriff.

Zitat:...
Iran’s smart strategy in the intelligence war

Iran’s approach, and by extension that of other members of the Resistance Front in dealing with this situation, reflects a smart strategy, guided by the leadership's wisdom and the innovative actions of Iran’s armed forces, particularly the IRGC.

This strategy is based on the principles of psychological and intelligence warfare.

For instance, Brigadier General Ali-Mohammad Naeini, the new spokesperson for the IRGC, emphasized Iran’s serious intent to respond to the assassination of Martyr Ismail Haniyeh during a recent press conference that drew considerable international media attention.

He explicitly stated that the timing and location of this response depend on Iran's calculations.

These measured and intelligent remarks not only signal the start of a new phase of psychological and media operations by the IRGC, but also clearly demonstrate Iran’s strategy of challenging the opponent’s calculations and imposing psychological and intelligence pressure on the Israeli regime.

In reality, Iran, through the smart and calculated use of its media and intelligence capabilities, has managed to create a situation where Israel and its Western allies are forced to maintain a constant state of alert without being able to predict the quality, quantity, or even the likely timing of Iran’s response.

This strategy, based on the principles of cognitive warfare and disrupting the enemy’s decision-making system, is far more effective than a direct military attack.

In other words, Iran, by leveraging psychological and intelligence warfare, has not only put significant pressure on the Israeli regime but also severely disrupted Israel's security and intelligence calculations and forecasts.

International concerns and diplomatic reactions

Recent developments have also heightened international concerns about the potential for a widespread war in the region.

Diplomatic reactions from European countries and the United States indicate that they are well aware of the possible consequences of a military confrontation between Iran and Israel and the irreparable damages that Israel could face.

At the same time, diplomatic efforts to reduce tensions and prevent an imminent punitive response from Iran have clearly intensified.

The repeated requests from Tehran to exercise restraint and avoid escalating tensions reflect the deep concern of these countries about the potential for a major military crisis in the region.

The United States and its European allies are trying, through both overt and covert diplomacy, to prevent a regional conflict that could threaten their strategic interests in the Middle East.

In this context, diplomatic trips and behind-the-scenes negotiations to reduce tensions and either prevent or mitigate Iran's response have significantly increased.

However, according to Western sources, these efforts have yet to yield tangible results, and concerns about the scope and depth of a possible blow to Israel remain high.

Given all that has been discussed, it seems that Iran's response to the assassination of Haniyeh is not likely to take the form of a direct military strike but rather a hybrid warfare approach, maximizing the use of psychological and intelligence warfare. This carefully crafted response will have long-term strategic consequences that will spell a bleak future for the Israeli regime.

This approach, based on the principles of cognitive warfare and the exploitation of media and intelligence capacities, clearly demonstrates Iran's capabilities in crisis management and in imposing its preferred conditions on its enemies.
...

Zitat:Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon is injured in the apparent attack, state media reports.

Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, Mojtaba Amini, suffered injuries to his hand and face when a pager he was carrying exploded in a simultaneous wave of blasts targeting wireless electronic devices, according to Iranian state media reports.

Mr. Amini was taken to a hospital in Beirut for treatment, but his injuries were not serious and he was expected to recover, Iranian state television reported.

Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, condemned the attack in a call with Lebanon’s foreign minister and said Iran was ready to medevac the ambassador and other injured people to Iran for medical treatment if needed, according to a statement released by his office. He spoke to Mr. Amini’s wife in Beirut and wished the ambassador a speedy recovery, the statement said.
...
Iranian media reported that two of the ambassador’s bodyguards were also injured because they were carrying pagers that exploded. Tasnim News agency, which is affiliated with the Revolutionary Guards, said similar devices also exploded in Syria. Iran’s state news agency IRNA published a video of the ambassador being transported to the hospital.
...

Zitat:Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon loses one eye in pager explosions: Report

The New York Times (NYT), citing two members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, has reported that Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, Mojtaba Amini, lost one eye and is severely injured in the other due to yesterday’s pager explosions.

The guards told the outlet that the ambassador’s injuries were more serious than initially stated and that he would be medically evacuated to Tehran for treatment.

“One of the Guards members said the pagers, including the one used by the ambassador, beeped for about 10 seconds before exploding, prompting some victims to hold the devices close to their eyes and faces to check for a message. Hence the large number of severe eye injuries,” said NYT journalist Farnaz Fassihi.

Iranian media had earlier stated that Amini was “lightly” injured from the attack.

Zitat:‘Heinous crimes’: Iran says will respond to Israel attack against ambassador in Lebanon
Thursday, 19 September 2024 6:46 AM [ Last Update: Thursday, 19 September 2024 6:55 AM ]

Iran tells the United Nations that it reserves the right to respond to the recent act of sabotage and terrorism by the rogue Israeli regime in Lebanon, after its ambassador was injured in one of the explosions in the Arab country.
...

(19.09.2024, 10:54)KheibarShekan schrieb: https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/09/19/733562/Iran-UN-Security-Council-Lebanon-Beirut--Ambassador-Permanent-Representative-Amir-Saeid-Iravani-Israel-terrorism-sabotage-aggression-peace-security

Würde mich überraschen, wenn die auch nur irgendwas tun. Aber der Druck wächst.

Zitat:Die Israelis haben aber auch immer wieder Lieferketten infiltriert, um Equipment, das teilweise Fehler hatte, aber auch mit Sprengstoff präpariert war, in das Nuklearprogramm des Iran einzuschleusen. Gerade beim iranischen Raketenprogramm hatten sie vor einiger Zeit einen Vorfall, wo Kabelverbinder explodiert sind. Die Iraner haben das öffentlich gemacht.

(20.09.2024, 21:32)Quintus Fabius schrieb: https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/ausland/walkie-talkies-pager-mossad-hisbollah-israel-libanon-100.html


Die Sache mit den hier genannten Kabelbindern habe ich gar nicht mitbekommen. Gibt es dazu mehr, hat der Iran dazu tatsächlich etwas veröffentlicht ?

Zitat:Iran accuses Israel of supplying potentially exploding parts for ballistic missile program

The report described the alleged Israeli operation as “one of the biggest attempts at sabotage” it had ever seen. It accused Israeli Mossad agents of supplying the faulty parts, which the state TV report described as low-price “connectors.”

Footage aired by state TV showed the alleged parts, some of them popping up into the air, as if affected by an explosive.

The pieces shown in the television report appeared to be military-style, high-density circular electrical connectors. Such connectors can be used to attach electronic components of a missile or a drone, such as its guidance computer, and pass both electricity and signals. Video released by Iran in the past showed missile scientists working with similar connectors.
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