(13.01.2024, 10:25)Quintus Fabius schrieb: Beide Seiten sind weiterhin offenkundig viel zu sehr besessen vom Besitz von Terrain und bestimmten Orten. Und beide Seiten werden militärisch meiner Ansicht nach viel zu sehr von zivilen politischen Führern eingeschränkt, welche aus politischen Gründen bestimmte Vorgaben machen, denn der russische Wahnwitz um diese Kleinstadt herum resultiert ja im Prinzip aus dem gleichen Funktionsprinzip heraus, nach welchem die Ukrainer zu lange und zu verbissen zu halten versuchen.

Das war schon in Bakhmut das gleiche. Ich postulierte ja damals, noch lange vor dem Fall Bakhmuts einen Rückzug auf eine bestimmte Linie. Man erwiederte mir hier im Forum, dass sei nachteilig, weil von dieser Linie aus die Russen dann Vorteile hätten (was ich so nicht sah). Nach dem Fall Bakhmuts aber stehen die Ukrainer nun stabil genau so dar wie ich es vorher schon beschrieben hatte, ohne Bakhmut als vorgeschobener Bastion.

Es ist im Festungskrieg eine Kunst, aber es ist auch wesentlich, zu wissen wann man eine Bastion räumt und sich zurückfallen lässt.

(13.01.2024, 11:45)Pogu schrieb: Ein kurzfristig günstiger Geländeabschnitt hat keinen langfristigen Nutzen. Er dient nur als Druckmittel bei diplomatischen Gesprächen. Verhandlungsmasse ist der einzig nachvollziehbare Wert, welcher solcherart gewonnen wird.

Zitat:Wie wahrscheinlich ist es denn dass es dieses oder nächstes Jahr zu (ernsthaften) Verhandlungen kommen könnte?

Zitat:Ukraine conflict: Russia has lost 90% of its equipment in Krynky due to shortage of EW, UK MoD says

Russia is said to have lost approximately 90% of its military equipment in Krynky, Kherson, likely because of a shortage of Russian electronic warfare (EW) systems in the area, according to a UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) intelligence update on 12 January.

The equipment is being destroyed by Ukrainian munition-equipped first-person view (FPV) unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) alongside artillery on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River, the update added.

Videos from Ukrainian military bloggers and the 501st Separate Marine Infantry Battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine depict Russian equipment being destroyed in Krynky, such as BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), as well as what appears to be a T-series main battle tank and possibly a TOS-1 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) because of the size of the explosion.

Zitat:Ukrainian Sources: We Just Shot Down Two Of Russia’s Best Command Planes

Ukrainian air-defenses reportedly shot down two of the Russian air force’s rarest and most valuable command aircraft on Sunday: a Beriev A-50 radar early-warning plane and an Ilyushin Il-22 airborne command post. [...]

Ukraine’s RBC Radio posted what it claimed was an audio recording of the Il-22’s crew radioing an S-O-S to controllers apparently in Anapa, on the Russian side of the Sea of Azov’s southern coast. “Urgently requesting ambulance and fire crew,” the crew radioed. It seems, at the very least, that the Il-22 suffered damage. According to Kyiv Independent, the four-engine, propeller-driven Il-22—which carries up to 10 people and helps to relay radio signals and coordinate front-line operations—was struck along the Sea of Azov coast Sunday night. [...]

The Russian air force has just nine A-50Ms and upgraded A-50Us. Ukrainian forces, or their Belarusian agents, apparently damaged one of the A-50s at its base in Belarus back in February. Kyiv Independent claimed an A-50 was shot down “immediately after it went on duty in the Kyrylivka area of Zaporizhzhia” in southern Ukraine. [...] If the shoot-downs did occur, it’s worth asking how. While Ukraine’s best air-defenses—its American-made Patriot PAC-2s—can hit aircraft from 90 miles away, A-50s and Il-22s normally should fly at the very edge of that range.

Zitat:Ukrainian drone attack on oil depot in Russia causes a massive blaze, officials say

Four oil reservoirs were set on fire.

A Ukrainian drone struck an oil storage depot in western Russia on Friday, causing a massive blaze, officials said, as Kyiv’s forces apparently extended their attacks on Russian soil ahead of the war’s two-year anniversary.

Four oil reservoirs with a total capacity of 6,000 cubic meters (1.6 million gallons) were set on fire when the drone reached Klintsy, a city of some 70,000 people located about 60 kilometers (40 miles) from the Ukrainian border, according to the local governor and state news agency Tass. [...]

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed to hit more targets inside Russian border regions this year. Russia’s air defenses are concentrated in occupied regions of Ukraine, Kyiv officials say, leaving more distant targets inside Russia more vulnerable as Ukrainian forces develop longer-range drones.

Zitat:Russia Loses 21 Tanks, 38 APVs in a Day: Ukraine

Russia has continued to suffer high losses of equipment on the frontline in Ukraine, according to Kyiv's latest estimates.

In its update on Thursday, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said that over the previous day, Russia had lost 21 tanks, taking the total losses of the vehicles since the start of the invasion nearly 23 months ago to 6,147. The update also said that Russian forces had lost a further 38 armored personnel vehicles (APVs) in the previous 24 hours, taking the tally over the course of the war started by President Vladimir Putin to 11,410. [...]

The tracking website Oryx, which counts equipment losses on both sides, lists Russian tank losses at 2,623 as of Thursday although it uses open sources and video or photographic evidence to confirm these figures. It says "therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here." [...]

Moscow has not updated its loss numbers since the 6,000 losses it revealed in September 2022. On New Year's Day, Ukraine's figures of Russian casualties since the start of the war totaled 360,010, putting Moscow's losses for last year at 253,290, a daily average throughout the year of 694.

Zitat:Ukraine conflict: Russia equips T-80BVM tank with new C-UAS

A new counter-unmanned aerial system (C-UAS) known as Saniya, developed by Russian company 3MX, has been equipped on one of Russia's T-80BVM tanks. The system was seen onboard a Russian 1st Army Corps T-80BVM tank operating near Pervomayskoye, Ukraine in a video posted by the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation on Telegram on 14 January.

Saniya automatically detects and suppresses first person vehicles (FPVs) from ranges of up to 1.5 km and 1 km respectively. The system encompasses a passive detector, featuring two small vertical antennas, and a distinct suppressor, comprising eight approximately 0.5 m antennas (two vertical and six diagonal).

Saniya can be deployed to protect stationary positions or be operated on-the-move, enabled with added vibration pads to absorb shocks from armoured vehicles.