Zitat:KHARTOUM - Sudan’s military continues to deploy in disputed Sudanese agricultural lands neighboring Ethiopia’s war-torn Tigray region. The Sudanese government is not commenting on troop movements.

Sudanese forces moved into the farming area bordering Ethiopia on Thursday and have spread out since on land that had been controlled by Ethiopian militias for over 25 years -- a longstanding source of friction between Khartoum and Addis Ababa.

Ethiopian armed groups called “Shefta” are very active during harvest time every year, stealing crops from farms in Fashaqa and other localities claimed by Sudan.
[...]
Sudanese military spread east of Berkat Norain -- originally Sudanese land. Because the Ethiopian military is busy with the Tigray conflict, it’s a chance for the Sudanese military to take over this area.

In May of this year, an Ethiopian militia attacked the villages surrounding Eastern Qadarif city, resulting in the deaths of five civilians and several Sudanese military casualties.

Sudan condemned the attack and accused Ethiopia’s government of supporting the militias.

Zitat:Äthiopien

Tausende flüchten aus Tigray in den Sudan

Aus der umkämpften Region Tigray im Norden Äthiopiens sind nach Angaben der Vereinten Nationen erneut mehr als tausend Menschen in den benachbarten Sudan geflüchtet. Insgesamt seien nun 47.000 Flüchtlinge im Sudan angekommen. Das Flüchtlingshilfswerk der Uno begrüßte die Bereitschaft der äthiopischen Regierung, humanitäre Hilfslieferungen nach Tigray zu erlauben. Sobald es die Lage erlaube, werde die Arbeit dort wieder aufgenommen. [...]

Große Teile Tigrays werden nach knapp einem Monat heftiger Kämpfe inzwischen von äthiopischen Regierungstrupppen kontrolliert, die dort gegen die Volksbefreiungsfront von Tigray, TPLF, kämpft. Die TPLF dominierte 28 Jahre lang die Region Tigray und auch die Politik Äthiopiens.

Zitat:The Great African War

The question is not if Egypt will attack the GERD, but when will Egypt attack the GERD. The Nile River supply’s 99% of Egypt’s freshwater, and Egypt will not allow Ethiopia to have monopolistic power over its only source of freshwater. Now that Ethiopia is engulfed in civil war, and has also begun filling the GERD – beginning the process of diverting water resources of the Nile – the answer to the question of when has become more forthcoming.

Zitat:Ethiopia

The Looming Long Civil War That Could Break Ethiopia

Violent conflict in Ethiopia has brought to light underlying issues that had been festering for years. But how did it get here and what does the future of the country and its neighbours look like?

The civil war in Ethiopia that broke out on 4 November when Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed launched an attack on Tigray, the state administered by the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), caught the world unaware. The transition of power in the ruling Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) after the death of Meles Zenawi in 2012 to Hailemariam Desalegn, and then to Ahmed in 2018, seemingly went smoothly. [...]

At the top of that list is Eritrea, which is supported by Ahmed's forces. Drones from the United Arab Emirates base in the Eritrean port city of Assab have attacked the TPLF. Meanwhile, neighbouring Sudan has received 45 000 mostly Tigrayan refugees, with the United Nations (UN) anticipating 200 000. The British Broadcasting Corporation and other media, however, reported that the Ethiopian army is stopping fleeing Tigrayans, presumably to prevent them from telling stories of widespread atrocities committed by soldiers. The army took control of Tigray's capital of Mekelle on 28 November, and although Ahmed was quick to claim victory, almost all of the TPLF leadership escaped capture. [...]

The immediate stimulus for the present war was a conflict that broke out in the northern command of the national army just outside Mekelle. But the main differences between the TPLF and Ahmed were over the fate of the EPRDF's system of national federation, which had its origins in the TPLF's demand for national self-determination during the anti-Derg war and became the cement that bound the various national-based movements that formed the EPRDF. [...]

He has shown little concern for the 1.8 million internally displaced people in the country, the largest such group in the world, and instead has concentrated on filling most state governments with his allies. He eliminated virtually all Tigrayans from the government, security services and state-owned corporations. He charged them with corruption but none has been convicted. [...]

Meanwhile, Ahmed has almost completely lost the support of the Oromos, who for generations have opposed the kind of centrist government he espouses. Instead, Ahmed's followers are now largely Amharas, whose elites favour the centralised administration practised by the Haile Selassie feudal regime and the Derg, in which they assumed the leading role.

Zitat:Rebel forces in Ethiopia's northern Tigray region have retaken its capital, Mekelle, sparking street celebrations and forcing officials to flee.
[...]
A rapid offensive led to the unexpected recapture of the city by the rebels on Monday.
A statement released by what was termed the Government of the National State of Tigray praised a "stunning victory", saying Mekelle was "now under the complete control of the Tigray Defence Forces".
It calls on rebel forces "to stay vigilant, relentless and on constant alert until Tigray is fully free of all invading forces".

Zitat:The rebel group has claimed it recently "neutralised" tens of thousands of Ethiopian soldiers in its June offensive. It hasn't specified whether that means those soldiers were killed or captured as prisoners of war, but either way, the losses to the Ethiopian National Defence Force appear to be heavy.

Alex de Waal, executive director of the World Peace Foundation of Boston, says the ENDF "was an army of 20 divisions - seven have been completely destroyed, three are in a shambles".

But other commentators say it's difficult to be definitive about the scale of the Ethiopian losses.

"It's one of the million-dollar questions," says Mr Davison. "We don't really know but I think it's a pretty worrying picture for the federal forces. There's been a significant depletion and also significant loss of morale.

"Compared to Ethiopia's former status as a much-valued regional peacekeeper, its military is now significantly weaker," he added.

What is certain is that for Ethiopia, the financial cost of the war has been huge.

Mr Abiy said this week that on top of the cost of the military effort in Tigray, his government had spent more than 100 billion birr (about $2.3bn; £1.7bn) on rehabilitation and food aid, a figure he said was equivalent to around 20% of this year's national budget.

(29.06.2021, 20:21)hunter1 schrieb: Die TPLF hat anscheinend Mekelle zurückerobert:
Quelle: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-57645282

Doch eher überraschend, dass die Rebellen trotz der Übermacht der Regierungstruppen und deren eritreischen Verbündeten dazu fähig sind.

Zitat:Ethiopia denounced Thursday a "destructive alliance" unveiled this week between rebels from war-torn Tigray and a group from Oromia, the country's largest region.

The Oromia group -- which calls itself the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) but which federal officials refer to as OLF-Shane -- went public with the purported alliance on Wednesday, telling AFP "the agreement is at a very early stage".

"It is based on the mutual understanding that (Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's) dictatorship must be removed," spokesman Odaa Tarbii said.

"At this point, we share intel and coordinate strategy."

(01.09.2021, 19:33)hunter1 schrieb: Für den Konflikt in Äthiopien ist das insofern bedeutend, da:
- Die Komplexität zunimmt
- Die Zentralregierung offenbar nicht in der Lage ist, ethnische Spannungen zwischen Afar und Somalis zu befrieden. Oder sie ist nicht willens. Möglich ist auch, dass dieser Kleinkrieg erst mit dem Tigray-Konflikt richtig ausgebrochen ist, da die Zentralregierung nicht an zwei Orten gleichzeitig eingreifen kann.
- Die Verbindung zu Djibouti unterbrochen werden kann. Djibouti ist der Hafen von Äthiopien, somit eine Lebensader. Der Einmarsch der TPLF nach Afar ist also höchst strategisch.